Joe Wooten wrote:Like Pruitt at the EPA, I expect him to be a great administrator.
We can only hope... don't see how it can be much worse than what the last bunch in office did... "more of the same", "Been there, done that", and tasking NASA with "reaching out to the Muslim community"...
Joe Wooten wrote:1) Kill the SLS and apply those funds to something better, like getting back to the moon using the Falcon Heavy.
I think it's gonna take either another 10 years or so or one heck of an enema to achieve that... Gotta wash out all the "dead wood" and old "shuttle mafia" holdovers first... Saw a speech recently someone posted a link to from Bill Gerstenmaier... the old SOB looks like he's about 90 now, he should just move on and retire or get the h3ll out of the way for younger blood to actually DO something with the space program (reminds me of a quote Lincoln made while he was BEGGING General George McClellan to march out of Washington and attack the Confederacy, which he kept putting off, FINALLY moved across the river into Virginia late in the year, and then stopped again... "Perhaps if General McClellan isn't using the Army he would allow me to borrow it for awhile"...)
Anyway, in true "shuttle mafia" style, the whole gist of his speech was that "we MUST have SLS (and of course another ten years and several billion dollars to design and build SLS Block 2) because we simply cannot launch lunar or Mars missions on Falcon Heavy-- it's too small... We *envision* modules of well over 70 tonnes in orbit and *I don't think* we can break them up smaller, so SLS *will be REQUIRED* to do these sorts of missions."
Okay, for one thing, NASA has been "envisioning" different missions, modules, and designs for the last 30 years, but HASN'T BUILT A DAMN THING... therefore if one of the requirements at the get-go to designing actual blueprints for a module is "must be launchable on Falcon Heavy or equivalent" then it'll be designed to fit on Falcon Heavy or equivalent. SLS is *only* required if you *intentionally design* your modules so they *require* launch on SLS... (NASA is good at that... remember way back when 15 years ago now when the shuttle retirement had been announced in the wake of the Columbia disaster, and the plans "then" were to build a CEV (crew exploration vehicle) to replace shuttle (ie morphed into Orion) and NASA Administrator Sean O'keefe and Admiral Steidle's plan at that time was the "spiral development" of NASA capabilities... Of course this terrified the "shuttle mafia" which was of course then at their zenith of power, and so they got O'keefe and Steidle replaced with good "shuttle derived solution" proponents like Mike Griffin... Regardless that their own RAC-2 studies showed that basically a new Saturn V was a better idea, so they tweaked the findings to make shuttle derived "more affordable" and thus we got Ares I/Ares V, which ultimately spent billions and were cancelled after a tuna-can flight of an old shuttle booster as "Ares I-X" and Ares V got downsized into SLS block 1...
Folks then were saying, "we can launch CEV on Delta IV Heavy" which got the shuttle mafia foaming at the mouth, saying "it wasn't possible" and all sorts of nonsense, quoting "lofted trajectories" (to maximize payload on unmanned satellite launches) and other such fluff... when that was too transparent an argument, they then tweaked the design of the CEV and required that it **MUST** be 5.5 meters in diameter to perform its function...thereby making it *TOO BIG* to be launched on a Delta IV heavy (or any other EELV-derived solution)... Then later when early work on Ares I proved that ARES I ITSELF was *incapable* of launching a 5.5 meter CEV (Orion by this time), so the design was quietly downsized to 5 meters... then of course after 6 years of work and forcing a 'clean sheet' weight scrub of Orion's design in an ATTEMPT for Ares I's anemic performance to be capable of launching it, it was realized that Ares I was a dead end design and FINALLY scrapped after 7 years of work and about 9 billion dollars in development (and who knows HOW MUCH additional design work and cost and delay on Orion...)
I expect NO LESS from the same crowd who've shouted all along "we *MUST* have Ares I/ Ares V/ SLS/ SLS Block 2" than to pull the same tricks to keep SLS alive, despite the fact it's already obsolete and already obscenely expensive... *ANYTHING* to keep "their shuttle derived baby" alive, even if it means NO PAYLOADS and NO MISSIONS... (so what the h3ll are we building the damn thing for again?? I just finished reading Boris Chertok's "Rockets and People", and it's an enlightening (but very heavy) read (4 volumes of about 400-600 pages each). In this final volume, the last couple chapters are dedicated to the cancellation of N-1 and Glushko's takeover of Korolev's old design burea after Mishin's ouster... Glushko IMMEDIATELY set about getting N-1 cancelled (even though the next flight would almost certainly have worked) and getting *his own* pet design for a super-booster approved... which of course wasn't approved, but was reworked into what became Energia and Buran... which incidentally flew EXACTLY TWICE and was cancelled... at least N-1 flew 4 times (though never successfully). I see a similar fate for SLS "eventually"... may take another 5-10 years though; it may be flown a couple times and then quietly cancelled... Simple fact is NASA has NO BUDGET to fly *with* SLS-- it can either own/operate the launch vehicle, or it can design and build payloads-- NOT BOTH! (no money for it!)
Joe Wooten wrote:2) Get some more outer planet probe programs going. Way past time to put orbiters around Uranus and Neptune.
Yeah, that'd be nice... thing is, we need plutonium in order to do more deep space stuff... we're critically short of the plutonium isotope used as fuel in the RTG power generators necessary to power deep space and outer solar system missions-- the solar energy levels are FAR too low to power anything out there... Juno basically required 3 solar panels the size of semi trailers in order to provide electricity for an ultra-low power probe (designed to "sip" electricity) even at Jupiter... IOW Jupiter is *barely* achievable with solar power-- the outer solar system, NO WAY-- (inverse square law). Without the Dept. of Energy approving the manufacture of more of the required plutonium isotopes, there won't BE any more outer solar system probes...
Joe Wooten wrote:3) More new propulsion systems research, at least re-start the NERVA program.
I wouldn't hold my breath on that either... NERVA scared them to death in the late 60's... NO WAY it's gonna fly NOW... too many tree huggers and nutjobs that will never allow it, and too many hand-wringers in positions of power and authority. Like I said above, if DOE won't even get off their butts and approve breeding more plutonium for "safe" RTG's, they SURE aren't going to go for "live" reactors in space...
It's easier to just "do nothing" and leave it at that. Seems to be the main aim of NASA and gubmint in general nowdays...
Later! OL J R
